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The links between hurricanes and climate change have become clearer with each passing year. For the past two years, meteorologists have exhausted the list of names used to identify storms during the Atlantic hurricane season, an occurrence that has happened only one other time, in 2005. Last year, there were 21 named storms, after a record-breaking 30 in 2020. Three to five of those could strengthen into what NOAA calls major hurricanes - Category 3 or stronger - with winds of at least 111 m.p.h. 30 - could see 14 to 20 named storms, with six to 10 turning into hurricanes that sustain winds of at least 74 miles per hour. In it, they predicted the season - which runs through Nov. In early August, scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration issued an updated forecast for the rest of the season, which still called for an above-normal level of activity. Storm activity picked up in early September with Danielle and Earl, which formed within a day of each other, and Ian, which formed on Sept. 1 and none in August, the first time that has happened since 1997. There were only three named storms before Sept. Ian, which later regained hurricane strength before making landfall in South Carolina, followed a relatively quiet start to the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June through November. Ian barreled across the state as a powerful Category 4 storm, destroying neighborhoods and infrastructure, unleashing floods, wiping out power and killing at least 120 people, according to state and local officials. Julia formed just 10 days after Hurricane Ian made landfall in Florida. Heavy rainfall could set off flash flooding and mudslides in parts of Central America, which could get five to 10 inches of rain, and up to 15 inches in isolated areas, the Hurricane Center said. Source: Observed and forecast storm positions from NOAAįorecasters said the storm was expected to grow more powerful and become a hurricane before it reaches the Colombian islands of San Andrés and Providencia on Saturday night and the coast of Nicaragua on Sunday morning. Source: Observed and forecast storm positions from NOAA Times are Eastern. It will skirt San Andrés and Providencia islands on Saturday evening, and reach the coast of Nicaragua on Sunday morning, before turning to the west-northwest and traveling across Central America through Monday, the Hurricane Center said. The center of the storm is forecast to move across the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Julia, moving at 18 m.p.h., is expected to churn westward with some decrease in speed. Julia had strengthened since Friday morning from a tropical depression as it churned westward. The government of Nicaragua also upgraded a hurricane watch to a warning, from Laguna de Perlas to Puerto Cabezas.Ī tropical storm warning, meaning that tropical storm conditions are expected within 36 hours, was issued for north of Puerto Cabezas to the Honduras and Nicaragua border and south of Laguna de Perlas to Bluefields. The Colombian government issued a hurricane warning for the islands of San Andrés, Providencia and Santa Catalina, meaning hurricane conditions were expected within about 36 hours.